📰 This Week’s Market Intel Drop

Markets bounced hard after last weekend’s 4.5–5% drop, which sent BTC to 76K — all sparked by rising trade war fears from President Trump.

Here’s the quick breakdown of what's going on in crypto land:


đŸ‡ș🇾 What’s Driving Markets?

  • Trump’s New “Tariff” Plan: Not traditional tariffs — he’s calling them levies.
    • Using emergency powers + Section 301 probes on trading partners.
    • Mixed signals = uncertainty.
  • Powell’s FOMC Comments:
    • Inflation is still a concern, but trade war impact may be transitory
    • No rate cuts anytime soon, employment still strong.
  • Consumer Confidence Crashing 📉
    • Lowest since Jan 2021
    • Especially bad among 55+ age group
    • FED isn’t too worried, but PCE (Friday) is the real key macro signal.

đŸ’„ Market Moves & Reactions

  • BTC rebounded to 88K, but struggling at resistance.
  • Stocks also bounced, including $TSLA, which I added on the dip.
  • Memecoins saw action, including FARTCOIN, which I’m bidding in the 0.3–0.5 range.

📊 What’s Next?

  • Friday’s PCE report is the big one:
    • YoY inflation expected at 2.5%
    • Core PCE may tick up to 2.7%
  • April 2 Tariffs still coming — we don’t know exactly what form yet.
  • Quarterly expiry coming Friday; open interest near $100K BTC not expected to trigger major moves.

👀 My Current Positioning

  • Bias: Defensive — macro still soft, trade war unclear.
  • Watching for dips to 82–83K, possibly back to 73K
  • If PCE drops, we could rally to 92K short-term.
  • Not deploying heavily unless BTC drops near 76K again or trade war clears.

🔐 Bonus Notes

  • Long-term Solana buy zone: Under $120
  • BTC long zone: Under $80K
  • Hedging with April/May $55 IBIT calls
  • Riding $TSLA longs for potential move to $300+

If you want a real insiders edge -> see this page!

- Matt