đ° This Weekâs Market Intel Drop
Markets bounced hard after last weekendâs 4.5â5% drop, which sent BTC to 76K â all sparked by rising trade war fears from President Trump.
Hereâs the quick breakdown of what's going on in crypto land:
đșđž Whatâs Driving Markets?
- Trumpâs New âTariffâ Plan: Not traditional tariffs â heâs calling them levies.
- Using emergency powers + Section 301 probes on trading partners.
- Mixed signals = uncertainty.
- Powellâs FOMC Comments:
- Inflation is still a concern, but trade war impact may be transitory
- No rate cuts anytime soon, employment still strong.
- Consumer Confidence Crashing đ
- Lowest since Jan 2021
- Especially bad among 55+ age group
- FED isnât too worried, but PCE (Friday) is the real key macro signal.
đ„ Market Moves & Reactions
- BTC rebounded to 88K, but struggling at resistance.
- Stocks also bounced, including $TSLA, which I added on the dip.
- Memecoins saw action, including FARTCOIN, which Iâm bidding in the 0.3â0.5 range.
đ Whatâs Next?
- Fridayâs PCE report is the big one:
- YoY inflation expected at 2.5%
- Core PCE may tick up to 2.7%
- April 2 Tariffs still coming â we donât know exactly what form yet.
- Quarterly expiry coming Friday; open interest near $100K BTC not expected to trigger major moves.
đ My Current Positioning
- Bias: Defensive â macro still soft, trade war unclear.
- Watching for dips to 82â83K, possibly back to 73K
- If PCE drops, we could rally to 92K short-term.
- Not deploying heavily unless BTC drops near 76K again or trade war clears.
đ Bonus Notes
- Long-term Solana buy zone: Under $120
- BTC long zone: Under $80K
- Hedging with April/May $55 IBIT calls
- Riding $TSLA longs for potential move to $300+
If you want a real insiders edge -> see this page!
- Matt